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Part A
What is up for discussion?

Hot Issue in Cold Environment! How can it serve Climate?
Introduction
(A) A climatic revolution
(B) Objective of investigation
(C) Where, When, Why

Part B
Warming of Spitsbergen, Facts and Considerations

Use of temperature series
What offers modern science?
How the warming was discussed until the 1940s
 

Part C
Analysing the warming event

General observations
Which sea areas could have contributed?
The warming event in detail
  1. Exceptional temperatures
  2. Distant warming
  3. Arctic Ocean
  4. Greenland
  5. Barents Sea
  6. Europe
  7. Is Spitsbergen the sole heating-up spot?
 

Part D
What caused the Arctic-warming?

What does not explain the warming?
Ocean’s potential – Ocean’s forcing
Which causing mechanism should be discussed?
Can WWI have caused the Spitsbergen warming?
(A) Which potential forces are available?
(B) Naval force a force to recon
  1. Why naval force?
  2. How close was the naval war to Spitsbergen?
  3. When got naval war in full swing?
  4. Weapon scenario that stirred the seas
  5. Churning the sea activities.
  6. Other means causing alterations
(C) Linking Naval war to Arctic-warming
  1. The general situation
  2. The week point of linking the events
  3. A further strong point of linking the events
(D) Conclusion
 
Annexes
Annex A - Spitsbergen Temp Birkeland
Annex B I - Colored Sea Ice graphs 1910-1919
Annex B II - Original Sea Ice graphs 1910-1919
Annex C - Arctic Sea Ice; April & September 1912 – 1922
Annex D - Winter weather conditions 1916 - 1917
Annex E - Naval warfare WWI
Annex F - Air Temp. 1912-1930; North Atlantic Region.
Annex G - Annual Mean Temperatures from app.1880-1947
in the Northern Atlantic Region.
Annex H - Europe.
   __The ANNUAL
   __The D/J/F

Last revised October 2009. All information and figures are by approximation, and may be altered and changed without notice.


08 December 2009

2009 AGU Fall Meeting
14–18 December, San Francisco, California, USA


Paper Number:GC51A-0738 , Poster Presentation

Poster in PDF

Presentation Date and Time: December 18, 2009; Location: Poster Hall, Moscone South

Arctic Warming Phenomena 90 Years Ago

ABSTRACT : Due to higher winter temperatures there had been a significant warming in the Arctic from 1919 to about 1940. Only a few details of locations, timing and possible sources of warming are available. Answers can be found if research is confined to an extreme temperature rise during the winter season. Within the Polar Circle, any winter warming is closely related to a number of prevailing circumstances, e.g., minimal direct influence by the sun, sea ice conditions, and the ocean current system.
Meteorological data from the Arctic Ocean region, Greenland, Iceland, North Europe, and Russia are analyzed in order to establish with accuracy, where and when the warming appeared, and its magnitude. Establishing the location and the precise timing is a paramount precondition to discuss the source of the event and its sustaining for two decades.
Thus the study can show that the extraordinary warming in the polar region since 1919 was not an Arctic but a Spitsbergen warming. The higher temperature rise could have only been generated in the sea ice free ocean off the western coast of Spitsbergen, where the warm and saline West Spitsbergen Current is entering the Arctic Basin. A detailed comparison of various coastal stations in the Northern North Atlantic from Russia to West-Greenland show that the rising trend started at Spitsbergen. At more southern stations in Northern Russia and Norway, as well as on Iceland and Greenland at no time there had been any significant surplus of heat, which could have had the ability to supply the winter warming at Spitsbergen for two decades. 

AUTHOR: Arnd Bernaerts; KEYWORDS: [9315] GEOGRAPHIC LOCATION / Arctic region, [1616] GLOBAL CHANGE / Climate variability, [1635] GLOBAL CHANGE / Oceans, [0750] CRYOSPHERE / Sea ice.

American Geophysical Union, 2000 Florida Avenue N.W. Washington, DC 20009-1277 USA

 

For more details click on image
 
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CLIMATE 2009 Conference
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_The Air Vent,  04 Nov.09
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PACON 2007, Honolulu,
Published PACON , CD-ROM.
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with Figures (p.20)

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